Democrats Seal Control Of Senate, AZ Governor Race Still Tight



Democrats Seal Control Of Senate, AZ Governor Race Still Tight

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A decisive new batch of ballots from Las Vegas’ Clark County has prompted the Associated Press and many other outlets to declare that Nevada incumbent Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto has defeated Adam Laxalt, assuring another two years of Democratic control of the U.S. Senate. 

With the win, Democrats will have at least 50 seats plus the vice presidential tiebreaker vote — just as they do today — with an opportunity to secure another seat in the Dec. 6 Georgia runoff pitting Republican Herschel Walker against incumbent Raphael Warnock. With Senate control no longer at stake, it seems likely that already-dull Republican enthusiasm for Trump-backed Walker will sag even more. 

The Arizona governor’s race remains tight, however. Unlike Friday night’s update — Saturday’s new tally brought some good news for the GOP, as Kari Lake trimmed Democrat Katie Hobbs’ lead to 34,129 votes. Hobbs is up 50.7% to 49.3%.

Katie Hobbs (left) and Kari Lake (Grace Edwards/Cronkite News)

There are still about 300,000 votes yet to be counted in Arizona, with the great majority coming from two counties: Maricopa, which is home to Phoenix, and Pima County, where Tucson is found.

Appearing on CNN Saturday evening, Arizona Assistant Secretary of State Allie Bones said rural counties are largely done, and that Maricopa County will give more tallies on both Sunday and Monday. She said it was unclear if Pima will release any more results until Monday.

Maricopa figures especially heavy. So far, Hobbs is leading Maricopa 52.1% to 47.9%. However, the Saturday batch favored Lake 51.8% to 48.2%, and her campaign hopes the next batches lean harder in her direction to push her to a dramatic 11th-hour victory.

That may very much be the case. According to Arizona pollster and data analyst Landon Wall, the sequence by which Maricopa has been counting ballots means that tallies are increasingly coming from more Republican-friendly Phoenix suburbs and exurbs.  

According to Bones, of the outstanding Arizona votes, the vast majority are so-called “late earlies” — early-voting ballots that voters completed but then brought to a polling station on Election Day rather than mailing them in. Trump won that particular flavor of Maricopa votes in 2020.

“It’s not a question that [Republicans] will win the next batches. Only a question of how much,” tweeted ABC15 political analyst Garrett Archer, a former elections analyst for the Arizona secretary of state.

The Arizona race isn’t the only remaining drama: The House of Representatives is still in play too, with each party trying to hit the 218 seats needed to control the chamber. As of Saturday evening, most outlets put Republicans at 211 seats and Democrats at 204. There are 20 seats still uncalled, and each party has a lead in 10 of them. That makes GOP control likely but still far from certain. 

In one closely-watched but uncalled race, incumbent Colorado firebrand and gun-slinging Trump enthusiast Lauren Boebert, who’d surprisingly trailed her challenger in earlier counting, now has a 1,122-vote lead with 99% of ballots counted. If the lead remains that narrow, it would trigger an automatic recount under Colorado law.

By failing to flip the Senate, Republicans will now have to watch as Biden proceeds to populate the federal judiciary with more leftists. GOP senators also lose the much-anticipated opportunity to proceed with a variety of investigations, from the origins of the Covid-19 virus, to the government’s pandemic decision making, Hunter Biden’s influence-peddling, and more.

Those investigations can still happen in the House — perhaps, on Covid, that could mean substituting double-MIT-degreed Rep. Thomas Massie for Dr. Rand Paul.

On Friday, the top Republican on the House Oversight and Reform Committee told CBS he’s ready to subpoena Hunter Biden and his business records: 

“What Joe Biden said is, ‘Our son is innocent.’ If I were Hunter Biden, I’d want to come clear my name and make some Republicans look bad,” said Rep. James Comer. “So we’re gonna ask Hunter Biden to come before the committee. If he refuses, then I suspect that he would receive a subpoena.” 

…but that and other inquiries all hinge on the GOP’s ability to reach 218 seats in the coming days. 

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(TLB) published this article from ZeroHedge as written and compiled by Tyler Durden

Header featured image (edited) credit:  U.S. Capitol/Dems Win/Getty Images

Emphasis added by (TLB) editors

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Catherine Cortez Masto Holds On to Nevada U.S. Senate Seat, Democrats Win Senate Control

Catherine Cortez Masto Holds On to Nevada U.S. Senate Seat, Democrats Win Senate Control

Democrats will keep control of the Senate due to Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto’s (D-NV) narrow election victory against Republican Adam Laxalt, the Associated Press projected on Saturday evening. 

The race results come after several days of delayed mail-in ballot counting — Cortez Masto secured a win with just under 5,000 votes by the time the Associated Press called the race, with 48.7 percent for Cortez Masto and 48.2 percent for former Nevada Attorney General Adam Laxalt. 

With Democrat Sen. Mark Kelly’s win in Arizona, Democrats will now hold a 50-49 majority in the Senate.

“The party will retain control of the chamber, no matter how next month’s Georgia runoff plays out, by virtue of Vice President Kamala Harris’s tiebreaking vote,” AP reported.

Cortez Masto celebrated her win, tweeting a photograph of herself along with the simple caption: “Thank you, Nevada!”

The race was a close one for months, often projecting either candidate winning within a margin of error. Closer to election day, some polling showed Laxalt taking a slim lead, and by Election Day, RealClearPolitics averaged out Laxalt’s advantage at 3.4 points. 

Cortez Masto, the first Latina to be elected to the Senate, was widely considered to be one of the most vulnerable incumbents in the nation and had a hard time dodging the fact that her voting record aligned with President Joe Biden nearly 100 percent of the time. Her reelection campaign focused heavily on abortion, which has already been codified up to 24 weeks in the Silver State. She often claimed Laxalt would support a federal abortion ban, even though he has explicitly stated that he believes abortion law should be decided by states. 

Laxalt made sure to emphasize Cortez Masto’s Biden-friendly record during his own campaign, and focused heavily on the economy, inflation, crime, and the border. He also received a boost from some big-name conservative endorsements, including former President Donald Trump, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz (R), and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis. 

Spending in the Senate race was projected to reach nearly $109 million by election day, CNN reported. According to OpenSecrets, Cortez Masto spent almost quadruple what Laxalt spent trying to keep her seat, $46.6 million to $12.4 million by Oct. 19. 

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Media Declaring Democrat Victory in Nevada Senate Race, Amid Significant Disparity Between Governor Race Outcome in Same State

The media is declaring Democrats have won the Nevada senate race with Catherine Cortez Masto defeating Republican Adam Laxalt.  This gives the Senate to the Democrats with 50 seats, Republicans with 49 and the Georgia runoff still outstanding.  [Media Report]

Something is very weird about this Nevada outcome, when you compare the Governor race on the same ballot.

With Laxalt previously ahead, and with his previous vote percentage in alignment with Republican Governor Candidate Joe Lombardo, it appeared Laxalt was positioned for victory.  However, apparently the Democrats gained post-election ballots where the Democrat on the Senate race was supported, but the Democrat in the Governor race was not.

Democrat Cortez Masto (Sen) surged late in the ballot counting and carried 15,000 more affirming ballots than Democrat Sisolak (Gov).  This seems odd and suspicious; however apparently, we are not allowed to notice these things, lest we be considered conspiracy theorists.

It is very rare for a split ballots to surface in a high-profile race where a Republican governor would win, and the Democrat Senator would win.  However, the outcome in Arizona and Georgia is of a similar construct amid the ballot trend.  Split races in the Governor and Senate outcomes.  All very weird.

It wasn’t “democracy on the ballot,” it was something else entirely.

Democracy per se’, was in the voting, not the ballot collecting.

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Kari Lake Discusses Status of Arizona Governor Race as Maricopa Ballot Counting Issues Continue

Arizona gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake appears on Fox News with Tucker Carlson to discuss the insufferable and chaotic state of the Arizona election counting fiasco. {Direct Rumble Link}

Maricopa County remains the epicenter of the ridiculous exploits from election officials, including the intentional dragging out of the vote tabulation in an effort to support the Sunday Talk show narrative.  However, that said, when the final ballots are counted, it’s almost certain that Kari Lake will stand victorious despite the shenanigans of the election officials; the remaining question is by what margin. WATCH:

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Additionally in Nevada, Republican candidate Joe Lombardo has been declared the winner [data].  Republican Senate Candidate Adam Laxalt remains in the lead by 2,000 ballots/votes with 93% of the stuffing counted.   Meanwhile in Colorado, as expected, Lauren Bobert has widened her lead with 95% of ballots (and votes), counted.

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Clark County Sheriff Joe Lombardo Unseats Nevada Democrat Gov. Steve Sisolak

Clark County Sheriff Joe Lombardo Unseats Nevada Democrat Gov. Steve Sisolak

Nevada voters have chosen Republican Clark County Sheriff Joe Lombardo to replace Democrat Gov. Steve Sisolak rather than experience a second term under his leadership, the Nevada Independent projected on Friday night.

The Nevada Independent projected Lombardo’s victory several days after the midterm election, following vote counting delays in several counties. The New York Times shows Trump-endorsed Lombardo a little more than two points ahead of Sisolak, 49.2 percent to 47.0 percent with 93 percent of the vote counted. Lombardo is unseating the first Democrat to win the office since 1994.

Lombardo and Sisolak ran a close race throughout the entirety of their campaigns, with Lombardo pulling ahead by several points in the polls over the past few months. RealClearPolitics gave Lombardo a 2.8-point average lead over Sisolak by Election Day. 

Sisolak conceded soon after Lombardo’s projected victory, stating that while it is “not the outcome I want, I believe in our election system, in democracy and honoring the will of Nevada voters.”

Throughout his campaign, the state’s two-term top law enforcement officer honed in on crime and on Sisolak’s draconian leadership during the pandemic, which resulted in business closures, school closures, and learning losses, as well as inflation and border security. Sisolak, like many Democrats around the country, hoped to hedge his bets on the issue of abortion after the Supreme Court issued its Dobbs decision in June.

According to KTNV, Sisolak reported spending $13.6 million this year, and Lombardo reported spending $4.8 million in the final campaign contribution and expense reports. 

“Both reported more than $1 million to spend in the final weeks, and political committees have poured millions more into the race,” the report states. 

In the historically purple state, former President Donald Trump was not favored in the state in 2016 or 2020. President Joe Biden won the state by 2.4 percentage points in 2020. However, unaffiliated voters, which make up a large swath of Nevada voters, have been nationally leaning toward the GOP and are expected to have played a huge role in the outcome of the race. 

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Democracy Dies When Americans Stop Scrutinizing Partisan Election Administration

Democracy Dies When Americans Stop Scrutinizing Partisan Election Administration

As we witness the mass breakdown of voting machines on the single day of the year they’re supposed to work, cameras going down in vote-counting offices, and the endless drip-drip of ballot dumps — curiously in the most hotly-contested races and most critical precincts for political control in the country — remember that this is all commonplace and normal. And if you think otherwise, you’re not only unhinged, but you might be a domestic terrorist.

This is the gaslighting we have been getting from our political class and the media over the last two federal election cycles. It is purposeful propaganda meant to obscure the truth that our betters have fundamentally transformed voting policies and practices, and then exploited the new rules to the maximum extent.

The reality is that those skeptical about the integrity in our brave new election world are not a “threat to democracy.” They are defenders of the republic. America is in serious danger if the public unquestioningly accepts the fact that authorities made radical changes, sometimes unduly and under cover of crisis, that made less safe, secure, or at minimum trustworthy the processes by which we elect our representatives.

For decades we voted one way: In-person, with identification, on a singular Election Day, usually with rudimentary, analog tools. With rare exceptions, we received the results on Election Night. In the 2020 election, that all changed. For the first time in modern history, we had a mass mail-in election, held over the course of weeks, much of it automated. The results came in over a period of days, not hours.

The ‘Shadow Campaign’ That Rigged 2020

In the run-up to the race, election offices outsourced their most basic operations, with hundreds of millions of dollars in private funding, a.k.a. “Zuckerbucks,” to often leftist nonprofits. Authorities made all manner of exceptions to count ballots cast that did not comply with basic legal standards – that is, to tally votes that were patently illegitimate. When state judges decreed rule changes, as opposed to leaving it to legislatures to make law, courts up to the highest in the land permitted it. Poll workers prevented poll observers from overseeing their operations in certain precincts.

By their own admission, the wealthy and powerful came together in a comprehensive “conspiracy” to “fortify” the election against one candidate — aiding in many of these efforts. As Molly Ball spelled out in her “Secret History of the Shadow Campaign That Saved the 2020 Election:” “a well-funded cabal…ranging across industries and ideologies, work[ed] together behind the scenes to influence perceptions, change rules and laws, steer media coverage and control the flow of information.” It is worth emphasizing that the co-conspirators both pushed the changes to the way we vote, and then, as seen with the Zuckerbucks, exploited the system they had helped create with nonprofits they funded to get out the vote — arguably disproportionately to Joe Biden’s benefit.

The Federalist’s Mollie Hemingway of course laid all this and more out in stunning detail in her essential book, “Rigged.”

As voters witnessed the simultaneous stops in vote counts in swing states in the middle of election night, only to pick up in the wee hours with margins moving from Trump to Biden, and seeming statistical anomalies followed, tens of millions of Americans had questions about what they saw. This was a perfectly rational response. It would have been beyond disturbing if Americans weren’t skeptical about an election like no other in our history – and in which so many forces were literally and figuratively invested in ensuring a specific outcome.

Remote voting at the very minimum presents the potential for less safe and secure elections. And we have found myriad instances of people engaging in related fraud. It is incumbent upon voters then to scrutinize any such system. Yet those who scrutinized the 2020 race were shunned and censored. Was the ostracism supposed to instill confidence?

It’s Happening Again

Fast-forward to 2022. Many states made permanent the temporary election practices of 2020, loosening their voting rules, with tens of millions of voters continuing to vote by mail. In the days before the election, we were told by the likes of Politico that the very vulnerabilities in election infrastructure feared by supposed conspiracy theorists and election denialists in 2020 in fact were present in 2022.

Problems cropped up in voting centers on Election Day when and where Republicans vote disproportionately. From Maricopa County, Arizona, to Mercer County, New Jersey, electronic tabulation machines malfunctioned en masse. That is, machines with literally one job, on the one day they’re supposed to work, didn’t. The RNC alleged voter disenfranchisement as a consequence of the Maricopa debacle, but a judge dismissed the case.

In Luzerne County, Pennsylvania, 44 polling locations reportedly ran out of paper to print ballots. Ballot machines went down in Harris County, Texas. In Suffolk County, New York the tabulation process was reportedly “impacted” by government computers that had been hacked months ago. Chesterfield County, Virginia had a whole host of issues – apparently manual and electronic.

And then there’s the fact that Arizona, in part because of Maricopa County, and Nevada, with pivotal races for the U.S. Senate and governor, as of this writing have not reported their final results. Officials in both states claim the count may take days.

How is it possible that in the most technologically advanced civilization in the history of mankind, and when Florida with a population two times greater than Arizona and Nevada combined, could report results on Election Night, that Sun Belt states can’t quickly and efficiently collect and count the votes? Could it be because Florida’s system hews towards more traditional, rigorous voting standards?

The Republican establishment has made little effort to forcefully make the case for, and drive legislative changes aimed at moving toward the Florida model. It is not clear whether much of the party lacks the courage of its convictions to fight for election integrity, simply thinks Democrats have the better of the arguments on the matter, or are content to participate in a system that they have refused to exploit as mercilessly as their opponents and therefore under which they are at a distinct disadvantage.

What is clear is that they are effectively normalizing the abnormal with each cycle that passes. We are the last safeguard for the republic. If we are asleep, the system crumbles because men are not angels.

Democracy dies in docility. If we fail to demand of our leaders elections of the highest integrity, we will reap what we sow.


Ben Weingarten is a Federalist Senior Contributor, senior fellow at the London Center for Policy Research and fellow at the Claremont Institute. He was selected as a 2019 Robert Novak Journalism Fellow of the Fund for American Studies, under which he is currently working on a book on U.S.-China policy. Ben writes on national security and foreign policy, economics, and politics for publications including City Journal, Conservative Review and PJ Media. He is the founder and CEO of ChangeUp Media, a media consulting and production company dedicated to advancing conservative principles. Ben is also a 2015 Publius Fellow of the Claremont Institute. You can find his work at benweingarten.com, and follow him on Twitter @bhweingarten.

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Poll: Joe Lombardo, Adam Laxalt Outpace Democrat Opponents, Lead with Independents by Double-Digits

Poll: Joe Lombardo, Adam Laxalt Outpace Democrat Opponents, Lead with Independents by Double-Digits

Nevada Republican U.S. Senate candidate Adam Laxalt and gubernatorial candidate Joe Lombardo are narrowly leading their incumbent Democrat opponents with the help of independent voters, a new Insider Advantage poll found.

Roughly two weeks out from election day, Clark County Sheriff Lombardo (48.5 percent) is leading Silver State Gov. Steve Sisolak (D) by 6 points (42.8 percent), outside of the survey’s ±4.2 percent margin of error. Former state Attorney General Laxalt is also leading Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV) 48.2 percent to 46.3 percent, within the survey’s margin of error. Insider Advantage conducted the poll on October 20 with 550 likely voters.

Both Lombardo and Laxalt have successfully appealed to middle-of-the-road voters in the historically purple state, both receiving double-digit support from independent voters over the incumbents, the survey results show. A little more than 54 percent of independents say they would vote for Lombardo compared to 30.2 percent for Sisolak. Fifty-two percent of independents say they plan to cast a ballot for Laxalt compared to 36.7 percent for Cortez Masto.

While both Cortez Masto (56.3 percent to 37.8 percent) and Sisolak (52.8 percent to 39 percent) are more popular with women voters than their GOP opponents, strong support from independent voters could potentially reflect the folly of Democrats’ decision to fixate on abortion — which the state codified in 1990 for up to 24 weeks of pregnancy — rather than adequately address voters’ biggest concerns, like the economy and inflation.

The Insider Advantage poll is latest in a string of surveys showing Lombardo and Laxalt pulling ahead of their opponents. On Friday, Rasmussen Reports showed Sisolak trailing Lombardo by five points, 42 to 47 percent. They survey also showed Cortez Masto down five points to Laxalt, 43 to 48 percent. RealClearPolitics gives Lombardo a 2.3-point advantage when averaging out recent poll results, and gives Laxalt a 0.8-point boost over Cortez Masto.

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Nolte: RealClearPolitics Projects GOP Wins in MI, WI, OR, NV Governor Races

Nolte: RealClearPolitics Projects GOP Wins in MI, WI, OR, NV Governor Races

Based on recent polling, RealClearPolitics projects Republicans will win the hotly contested gubernatorial races in four states that were once seen as Democrat strongholds: Wisconsin, Oregon, Nevada, and, yes, Michigan.

One wonders how the latest polling out of Minnesota — polling that shows Republican Dr. Scott Jensen leading his Democrat opponent Tim Walz, 46.3 to 45.8 percent — will affect that RealClear projection.

Jensen appears to be surging in Minnesota, where Walz, the incumbent governor, did nothing in 2020 as the domestic terrorists in Antifa and Black Lives Matter burned down his cities and terrified his residents.

The Minnesota poll comes from Trafalgar, the most accurate pollster in America.

Momentum matters most when we are less than three weeks from Election Day. So, too, does the fact the incumbent is underwater. If you look at all the Minnesota polls, Walz has only hit 50 twice.

In part, RealClear is basing its projections with an eye on how poorly most pollsters underestimated GOP turnout in the last few election cycles.

In Nevada, in the RCP poll of polls, Republican Joe Lombardo beats Democrat Steve Sisolak 46.6 to 44.8 percent. That’s a nearly two-point advantage. Because polling in Nevada has been pretty accurate, no major adjustments are necessary to call this one.

The RCP poll of polls shows the Wisconsin governor’s race a tie. But polling out of Wisconsin has underestimated GOP turnout by a whopping 5.2 points, so RCP projects Republican Tim Michaels is beating incumbent Democrat Tony Evers by 5.2 points. Dairy Staters have not forgotten how Evers stood by and did nothing as the terrorists in Black Lives Matter and Antifa burned Kenosha to the ground.

Oregon is an easy projection. Republican Christine Drazen has led in every poll against Democrat Tina Kotek and independent Betsy Johnson. Currently, the RCP poll of polls has Drazen up 2.8 points.

RCP’s most fascinating projection comes from Michigan, where the Democrat incumbent — the objectively hideous Gretchen Whitmer — was cruising to an easy reelection. But Republican Tudor Dixon has run a superb campaign, clearly won the debate earlier this month, and is surging. In the RCP poll of polls, Whitmer enjoyed a double-digit lead just a few weeks ago. Since the debate, Tudor has climbed within an average of three points. Because polling in Michigan has underestimated GOP turnout by 5.7 points, RCP projects Dixon will defeat the fascist Whitmer by 2.7 points.

Keep in mind that these numbers can and will change as more polling comes in.

But when you look at how the GOP is surging across the country and how Democrats and their media allies are sweating bullets, everything points to the political climate only improving for Republicans. Democrats have nothing to run on other than killing babies. Republicans are crushing Democrats on all the issues that matter: the economy, the border, and crime. There is also the underlying issue of how Democrats are grooming children through transsexual propaganda. The Democrat party is flooding schools with gay porn, exposing small children to sexually explicit drag queens, and encouraging children to mutilate themselves with irreversible sex change operations and puberty blockers.

On top of targeting children, Democrats have done an awful job governing their states and the country. The American people are ready to let their thoughts on these failures — as well as anti-science school closures and masking — be known.

There’s a reckoning coming.

Follow John Nolte on Twitter @NolteNC. Follow his Facebook Page here.

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