Inside Our Rust Belt Road Trip: Get To Know 2020’s Swing-State Voters

On this episode of The Federalist Radio Hour, Senior Editor Christopher Bedford and Political Editor John Daniel Davidson review their recent reporting trip through the Rust Belt and share how voters in multiple cities, towns, and areas in swing states are contemplating voting on Nov. 3.

While Bedford and Davidson said they found Democratic support in some areas, they also ran into many Trump supporters, some of which were union members who, despite their union’s endorsement and claims that their members would be voting for Biden, would be supporting the GOP presidential candidate.

“In Milwaukee, just like in Boston or Washington or a lot of other cities, you don’t have to hide that you’re a true Joe Biden supporter,” Bedford said. “But it turned out, we were uncovering [Trump supporters] all over the place.”

“Macomb County is a place that hadn’t gone Republican since Ronald Reagan and those Reagan democrats didn’t really seem to stick around, some of them did, but at least not right there.”

Despite mainstream media narratives suggesting otherwise, Bedford and Davidson believe that Trump will retain his support from blue-collar workers from the Midwest. Davidson also noted that the Democrats’ recent actions will give Trump more ground to mobilize potentially hesitant or unenthusiastic voters in the Rust Belt as well.

“I think it isn’t necessarily because of anything Trump has done, although he has followed through on a lot of the things he said he would do,” Davidson explained. “It’s because of what the Democrats have done in sort exposing themselves in reaction to Trump as this radical party that doesn’t care at all about working-class, blue-collar voters in places like Saginaw.”

You can read more of Bedford and Davidson’s reporting from the Rust Belt here:

‘I’m Worried He Will’: Trump Appears Poised To Win Obama Swing Counties North Of Detroit

A Riot In The Suburbs: Inside The Changing Face Of Wisconsin 2020

From Dairy Country To Green Bay, Trump Radically Changed Wisconsin Politics. Can He Do It Again?

Western Wisconsin: Will Blue-Collar Trump Democrats Swing The State To Trump Again?

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Michigan Gun Store Owners: Biden Gun Tax Would Damage Declining Hunting Economy

Two Michigan gun store owners told Breitbart News that Joe Biden’s proposed taxes on firearms and accessories would hurt an already ailing hunting economy in the state.

“I think the hunting economy is already suffering in Michigan,” Ed Swadish, owner of Huron Valley Guns of New Hudson in Oakland County, said, adding that hunting among young people is on the decline.

A coalition of organizations called “Hunting Works for Michigan” reported $2.3 billion is spent annually by hunters in Michigan. The group said 529,000 people hunt in Michigan every year, including 28,000 from out of state.

According to Mlive, as many as 1.2 million Michiganders hunted in the 1990s. By 2018, that was nearly cut in half — less than 675,000 individuals.

“If you add costs to hunting you’re just going to whittle that down even more,” Swadish said.

Breitbart News previously reported that Biden’s proposed gun policy includes a plan to register so-called “assault weapons” like AR-15s under the National Firearms Act of 1934 (NFA), which means hunters could be required to register their AR-15s with federal authorities, submit their fingerprints and photographs, potentially submit to an FBI background check, and pay a $200 federal tax on AR-15s they already own, if these owners decide not to participate in any proposed federal buy back program.

Moreover, Biden’s proposal could also apply the same $200 tax and NFA registration requirements to every so-called “high-capacity” magazine a gun owner possesses, if the owner decides not to participate in any proposed buy back program.

The $200 tax on AR-15 rifles alone would impose a collective $3.6 billion in new taxes on the estimated 18 million privately owned AR-15 rifles in the United States.

Biden’s proposed policy does not define how many rounds a “high-capacity” magazine contains, but past gun control legislation like the 1994 Federal Assault Weapons Ban defined it as a capacity of over 10 rounds. Biden himself has criticized the existence of “magazines that can hold multiple bullets in them.”

“The interest in hunting has gone down,” Lisa Mayo, owner of Flashpoint Firearms in Comstock Park, Michigan told Breitbart News.

She predicted Biden’s possible taxes “would make it go down even further.”

Swadish thought the taxes would create a “gray market,” where owners would sell guns among themselves, and avoid retailers, who would likely be responsible for collecting such taxes.

An accelerated decline would also impact wildlife management and conservation.

“Hunting and fishing fees account for more than 90% of the Michigan Department of Natural Resources’ $42 million wildlife conservation budget,” Mlive reported.

According to Hunting Works for Michigan, hunters pay $289 million in state and local taxes annually, and the pastime supports over 34,400 jobs in the state.

Additionally, hunters spend $1.3 billion on hunting equipment, averaging $4,400 per hunter each year.

Kyle Olson is a reporter for Breitbart News. He is also host of “The Kyle Olson Show,” syndicated on Michigan radio stations on Saturdays. Listen to segments on YouTube or download full podcast episodes. Follow him on Twitter, like him on Facebook, and follow him on Parler.

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All Signs Point To One Thing: We’re Reliving The 2016 Election

A Democrat National Committee-engineered nomination.

A press that dismisses serious questions as conspiracies, and Republicans as racists.

A campaign that scorns personal interaction and relies on technology.

A candidate who is isolated, and in some areas completely absent.

A smattering of lackluster rallies with dozens of participants.

A highly compromising laptop in the hands of U.S. intelligence.

A final-stretch Barack Obama appearance in deep-blue Philadelphia.

A Republican opponent who is packing stadiums while inspiring arts, crafts, music, and dance moves, but is behind in all major polling.

And “Saturday Night Live” skits that fail to trigger so much as a chuckle.

Does all this sound familiar? It should, because it describes Hillary Clinton’s campaign for president. For a few sweet weeks after she lost, these were the topics of dozens upon dozens of public media chest-beating and garment-rending sessions.

How could they have missed such obvious signs of a rotten Democratic campaign, they asked the heavens, and not seen such clear signals of Republican enthusiasm? Today, just four years later, we’re living it all over again. So what happened to the soul searching, and how did the pundit class end up back in the exact place, trying desperately to undo history by repeating it to a tee?

After November 2016, Democrats wondered what they’d done wrong — what Her had done wrong. Had they forgotten white working voters? (Yep.) Had they sacrificed the concerns of the ordinary Americans for the luxury problems of the elites? (Yes.) Had they taken victory for granted, confident that voters would not support Donald Trump? (Mmhm.) Had they skipped Wisconsin? (Yeah, they did that).

Reporters wondered what they’d done wrong, too. The Huffington Post did a whole “Listen to America” tour of 25 cities, 19 of which were blue, and there was a general call to listen to the country and dispense with the contempt.

Where’d all that go? The short of it is more important things came up. The new president’s attorney general was a Klansman, for one. Or was he a Kremlin agent? Russia took center stage before it was traded in for Ukraine before going back to Russia again.

Somehow, four short years after the Democratic Party and their media allies publicly went through what recovering alcoholics call “a moment of clarity,” they relapsed. They are doing it all again, bit for bit, and play for play. They even brought back Black Lives Matter, that national organizer of violent racial hatred that last led to the 2016 murder of five Dallas policemen. The whole gang is back.

Few Democrats are truly excited for Joe, a candidate foisted on the faithful by a party leadership terrified of the hyper-popular radicals in their midst.

News outlets are asking the former vice president what his favorite ice cream is while issuing press releases assuring their audience they won’t cover his family’s corruption. Only Thursday night, in a strong final debate, were major channels forced to carry the allegations for more than a few dismissive moments.

Committed to pandemic street theater, Democrats have largely discarded field offices and door-knocks, relying instead on digital campaigning.

The candidate is so isolated from Americans that his own campaign staff must look away while drinking water, and he dared not even shake hands with his running mate. With few public appearances and even fewer questions, neither he nor Kamala Harris are present in the states they need to win.

When they do hold rallies, viewers are sometimes confined to their cars. Others look like bizarre music videos, with small numbers of spaced humans wearing masks in parking lots.

A highly compromising laptop once owned by Hunter Biden is in the hands of U.S. intelligence, with more and more damaging evidence of corruption emerging daily, amplified by a brazen Big Tech campaign to censor the news.

Obama, who struggles to hide his disinterest in his former vice president, made an eventual appearance, opting to hold a rally in deep-blue Philadelphia. He hopes to recreate the black support that helped him win Pennsylvania twice but failed to materialize when he visited for Her.

Although behind in all major polling, Donald Trump is packing stadiums. Trump flags, tambourines, and switchblades are sold on the side of the road, homemade mailboxes bear his likeness, skydivers and boaters wave his banner across the horizon, and teenagers try to learn his dance moves.

And once again, “Saturday Night Live” skits fail to trigger so much as a chuckle.

This Election Day could go either way, and nothing is for certain. Nothing, except for one thing: We haven’t learned a thing.

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Nolte: Post-Debate Polls Show Donald Trump Leading in MI, AZ, and FL

Three post-debate polls in swing states that will decide the 2020 election show President Donald Trump with a small lead.

In Michigan, the Trafalgar Group, one of the most accurate swing state pollsters in 2016 and 2018, shows Trump leading former Vice President Joe Biden by two points, 49 to 47 percent, with third party libertarian nominee Jo Jorgensen at two percent. Earlier this month, this same pollster had Trump up by a single point, 47 to 46 percent.

Trump is also up two with Trafalgar in Florida, 49 to 47 percent, over Biden. Jorgensen is again at two percent. Earlier this month, in this same poll, Trump had a similar two point lead, 48 to 46 percent, over Biden.

In Arizona, Trump sits at 50 percent, compared to just 47 percent for Biden. Jorgensen is again at two percent.  An earlier Trafalgar poll had Trump up by four, 48 to 44 percent. So Trump’s lead shrank by a point, but he is at the magic 50 percent mark.

Trafalgar’s number are currently something close to outliers compared to other pollsters looking at those same states.

In Florida, the RealClearPolitics poll of polls shows Biden up 1.5 points.

In Michigan, the average shows Biden winning by 7.8 points. A Fox News poll released just five days ago has Biden winning by 12 points, 52 to 40 percent.

In Arizona, Biden is up 2.4 points in the average.

One thing we can look at now is what actual voting looks like. We don’t yet know who specifically is winning the vote, but we do know the party affiliation of those voting early, and even the far-left Politico has been forced to admit that things do not look very good for Joe Biden in Florida right now.

“Florida Republicans are pouring out of the trenches,” an alarmed Politico writes. “After weeks of Democrats outvoting them by mail, Republican voters stormed early voting precincts in person this week, taking large bites out of their opponents’ historic lead in pre-Election Day ballots.”

Democrats still held an early vote lead of 387,000 on Saturday, but that’s down 21 percent from the lead they held three days ago, and Republicans — including yours truly — prefer to vote in person on Election Day. Especially in Florida.

Here’s a key metric Politico reports on that should very much worry Team Biden: “According to TargetSmart’s analysis, Black voters aged 18 to 29 have cast 15.8 percent of the total ballots so far in Florida. That’s half a percentage point down from the same period in 2016.”

So as of right now, Biden is doing worse in Florida with a key constituency, young black voters, than even Hillary did. Diminished black turnout, Hillary’s inability to recreate the Obama coalition, is something that is widely seen as contributing to her humiliating loss.

In Arizona, 36 percent of Republicans and Democrats requested early ballots. So far, of those returned, 42 percent are Democrats, 34 percent are Republicans.

Here’s a real shocker…

In Michigan, of the 3.1 million mail-in ballots requested, 39 percent of those requests came from Democrats, 41 percent from Republicans.

Right now, two million of those ballots have been returned, and the GOP has a two point lead of 41 to 39 percent.

So, Republicans are leading the early vote count by two points right now IN MICHIGAN, and in the past, Democrats have almost always had to build a sizable early vote lead to overcome the surge of Republican turn out on Election Day.

A final thing to keep in mind… You have a much better chance of ensuring your vote is counted if you show up in person on Election Day. Mail-in ballots have a much higher rejection rate than in-person votes.

Follow John Nolte on Twitter @NolteNC. Follow his Facebook Page here.

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3 Ways Donald Trump’s Debate Performance Will Affect The Race

It might seem obvious, but in all the racket that follows a debate the most important focus is how it affects the race, if at all.

It was a solid debate — despite more questions geared toward former Vice President Joe Biden and against President Donald Trump, and with moderator Kristen Welker interrupting the president 24 times to Biden’s two, by Fox’s count. On the most important count, however, Trump won the debate hands down. Here’s three reasons why.

Pennsylvania

As Welker attempted to move from energy to the next topic in the last half hour of the debate, Trump asked a pointed question:

Trump: “Would he close down the oil industry? Would you close down the oil industry?”

Biden: “I would transition from the oil industry, yes.”

Trump: “Oh, that’s a big statement.”

Biden: “That is a big statement, because I would stop–”

Welker: “Why would you do that?”

Biden: “Because the oil industry pollutes significantly.”

Trump: “Oh, I see. That’s a big statement.”

Having read this exchange and seen it, it’s worth a two-panel look. Watch Trump’s face as Biden attacks oil on the national stage.

“That may be the biggest statement,” Trump said, savoring the moment as the first part of the exchange came to a close. “In terms of business, that’s the biggest statement, because basically what he’s saying is he is going to destroy the oil industry. Will you remember that, Texas? Will you remember that, Pennsylvania? Will you remember that, Oklahoma?”

And he was right. Pennsylvania is a very important state to a Trump Electoral College win, and despite signs it has been trending more red, it is still very much a toss-up that could help sink a second term. Why, when so much of the country seems to be trending blue, is Pennsylvania going the other direction? In a word, energy.

In 2008 and 2012, Philadelphia dominated the vote, coming out in support of the first black president. In 2016, rural voters eager to take part in the booming American energy economy helped propel Trump to the White House. That year, Obama’s final-day Philadelphia appeal fell short, though we saw him try again just this week because he knows it is crucial.

Biden, with prodding from Trump, just wrote the Republican campaign ad. He was even kind enough to write the introduction, challenging the president to “show the tape” where Biden says fracking should be banned.

Biden took a less radical tact in the primary, pushing back against the Green New Deal’s anti-energy policies, but in a rush to unite the Democratic Party after winning tacked hard to the left in the general. It was a gamble designed to bring the radical wing of the Democratic Party behind him, and based on the hypothesis that simply a united Blue Team is strong enough to win the country.

In the past few weeks, he’s once again changed course, insisting he would not ban fracking. On Thursday night, he sunk that final move, and a preview of what is to come was available within hours.

Polls in Pennsylvania are close, and the president is at risk of losing the Keystone State, so expect his campaign to run Biden’s words over and over again. In the final stretch, it could make all the difference.

Far outside of Pennsylvania, where Democrats are hoping for wins in states like Texas and Oklahoma, expect to hear the top of the ticket’s attacks on the industry. It was the evening’s biggest win for the president.

Russian Disinformation

Biden knew he shouldn’t have brought it up — he said as much out loud — but did it anyway.

“Well, I shouldn’t…” the vice president began, fading off. “Well, I will.” You could almost hear the “No! No! No!” coming from his campaign war room, but there he went, claiming his family’s now-public, corrupt dealings with foreign corporations seeking access to power are just Russian disinformation. “Former New York City Mayor Rudy [Giuliani],” he charged, “he is being used as a Russian pawn. He, he is being fed information that is not true.”

This was a silly media and campaign line in the first place, but since the Democrats first staked this ground, the director of national intelligence has publicly said there is no evidence to support it. Since then, the Department of Justice and Department of State have agreed — as has the FBI, which is in possession of the laptop in question and is reportedly using its evidence in an investigation into suspected money laundering.

For a week, the titans of the American left have worked to quash this story, sending surrogates out to argue with the evidence while Big Tech actively suppresses the information and Biden hides from reporters more interested in asking him the flavor of his milkshake. It was going to be hard to hide until Election Day, but any hope of that is now dashed. Even the allied news networks that have diligently worked to ignore the story have now unintentionally aired it.

There’s no part of this story that plays into the vice president’s campaign message, and no aspect of it will do well with voters.

Tone

It’s a buzzword, and an annoying one, but it’s true: President Donald Trump’s usual tone plays terribly with a large swathe of the college-educated, suburban women who made up an important part of the old GOP. On the campaign trail in Michigan and Wisconsin just a week ago, we heard it over and over again: These voters don’t like his combative Queens style.

The first debate, just four days before the president was rushed to the hospital with Covid-19, did not help his case with these voters. Even MAGA-hat-wearing die-hard supporters felt let down. Thursday night, Trump turned that around, giving both what they’d been hoping for: A condifent defense of his administration’s accomplishments, combined with effectively pushing his opponent to answer for corruption allegations and the radical aspects of his party.

It was a strong debate performance, sure to calm nervous Republicans and likely to soothe those who say they’re wavering so much they’d wondered if they would vote at all.

These three points were clear victories for the president, likely to cut through the noise and directly reach Americans in the last two weeks of the election.

Thursday night was the last time Americans would ever watch Donald Trump live in a presidential debate. “Let’s finish this,” he reportedly told aides after leaving the stage.

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Joe Biden: ‘Not a Better Governor’ than Michigan’s Gretchen Whitmer

Joe Biden heaped praise on Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer on Friday, saying, “There’s not a better governor” in the country.

Speaking to supporters in Detroit, Biden said, “There’s not a better governor in the United States of America than Gretchen Whitmer,” triggering applause from the audience:

Biden went on to call her a leader.

“You stand up straight and tall and you don’t bend,” he said.

Biden said Whitmer “stepped up” during the coronavirus pandemic. Roughly one-third of coronavirus-related deaths in the state have occurred in nursing homes, after Whitmer instituted a controversial policy of sending virus patients to long-term care facilities to recuperate, inadvertently spreading the disease to the most vulnerable.

He went on to say she is “pretty much doing it better than anybody else in the whole United States of America.”

“You’ve shown this whole nation just how tough and thoughtful you are,” he continued.

“I’ve got to believe this state is so proud of you,” Biden said.

Biden condemned the accused “domestic terrorists” who allegedly plotted to kidnap Whitmer recently.

“It’s the sort of behavior you might expect from ISIS,” he said, before blaming Trump for the anarchists’ alleged plans.

One of the alleged conspirators, Brandon Caserta, accused Trump of being a “tyrant” in a social media video:

“Trump is not your friend, dude,” Brandon Caserta said, with an anarchist flag hanging above his shoulder.

“And it amazes me that people actually, like, believe that when he’s shown over and over and over again that he’s a tyrant,” he said.

Caserta and five others are charged with Conspiracy to Commit Kidnap, which could bring a sentence of up to life in prison.

Kyle Olson is a reporter for Breitbart News. He is also host of “The Kyle Olson Show,” syndicated on Michigan radio stations on Saturdays. Listen to segments on YouTube or download full podcast episodes. Follow him on Twitter, like him on Facebook, and follow him on Parler.

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Michigan Supporters Shout ‘Lock Her Up’ After Donald Trump Criticizes Gretchen Whitmer

President Donald Trump on Saturday criticized Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer during a campaign rally in the state.

“Now you got to get your governor to open up your state okay? Trump said, as the crowd gathered in Muskegon, MI, cheered wildly.

“And get your schools open, get your schools open, the schools have to be open, right?” he asked, as the crowd began cheering “lock her up.”

“Lock them all up,” Trump replied.

The president warned his supporters that Biden would level more public lockdowns in an attempt to control the coronavirus pandemic.

“The Democrats would terminate our recovery with a draconian, unscientific lockdown like your governor is doing for everybody except for her husband,” Trump said, referring to the story of Whitmer’s husband requesting to get his boat on the water for Memorial Day weekend, despite the lockdowns.

“A guy like Biden and the Democrats want to keep Michigan locked up, locked down, and closed for business,” Trump continued.

The president also referred to the disrupted plot by radicals to kidnap the Michigan governor and start a civil war.

“Then I guess they say she was threatened, and she blamed me!” Trump said. “And our people are the ones that worked with her people.”

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Whitmer ‘Kidnapping Plot’ May Have Been An FBI Entrapment Of A Bunch Of Crackpots

A recent thwarted plan to take Michigan Democratic Gov. Gretchen Whitmer hostage could have been an FBI entrapment, a defense attorney suggested Tuesday for one of six men charged with conspiracy to kidnap.

Scott Graham, who is representing 26-year-old Kaleb Franks, argued in court there was no real plan to capture Whitmer. Instead, he said the accused were merely acting as “militia wannabees” who engaged in “big talk between crackpots,” according to the Detroit Free Press. In other words, Graham said, those charged in a plot to kidnap Whitmer were “people who talk a lot … but are never going to do anything.”

“Have you ever dealt with big talkers?” Graham asked an FBI Special Agent Richard Trask during cross examination. “There’s kind of a military-wanna-be theme that runs between militias.”

Graham specifically asked Trask about his testimony that 13 militia members were planning to steal Whitmer from her vacation home and leave her in the middle of Lake Michigan or try the governor for treason in a nearby state. Trask, the paper reported, said he couldn’t offer a specific answer but that there were audio recordings of the members discussing their plans.

Graham argued in court that it was the FBI’s own informant involved with this group that was actively encouraging the others to engage in illegal activity.

“One of the most active leaders was your informant,” Graham charged.

Gary Springstead, who is representing 24-year-old Ty Garbin, also said the use of an informant raised suspicions that without FBI involvement the “plot” would never have gone anywhere.

“(I)t’s become an issue in certain cases where the informant pushes some of the information, and the court and the government and the defense attorneys have to be leery of that,” Springstead told reporters outside the courthouse. “Because their job is not to assess what the government informant wants them to do, it’s to assess the accused’s intent and what they actually planned on doing.”

Prosecutors pushed back on Graham’s claims, citing the militia members allegedly conducting surveillance on Whitmer’s home three times.

“Have you ever heard of someone casing someone’s house?” the federal prosecutor asked the FBI agent on the stand. Trask testified that the group also considered going after Virginia Democratic Gov. Ralph Northam.

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MI Gov. Whitmer: No ‘Artificial Deadlines’ for Announcing Election Results

Sunday on CBS’s “Face the Nation,” Gov. Gretchen Whitmer (D-MI) declared her state would not be held to any “artificial deadlines” with regards to announcing the results of her state’s November 3 election outcomes.

She accused those of seeking those so-called “artificial deadlines” of having political agendas.

“I will start with this,” she said. “Jocelyn Benson, our secretary of state, is a national expert when it comes to election law. She has said, we are going to get every vote counted, and we’re going to keep people safe as they go to vote. We’re working closely with our attorney general, Dana Nessel, who has been a fierce advocate of protecting people’s right to vote. And we’re all working in a coordinated fashion. Michigan will be able to announce results, but we are not going to have artificial deadlines set by people with political agendas.”

“We’re going to get this right,” Whitmer continued. “It will be soon after polls close. I’m not going to put a number on it, but we’re going to get it right. And I want to remind Michiganders, you can vote today. You can go into your clerk’s office and cast your vote today. So, every day between now and November 3 in Michigan is Election Day. And the more people that vote earlier, the more likely you’ll be safe and get counted.”

Follow Jeff Poor on Twitter @jeff_poor

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Gov. Whitmer: Michigan votes will not ‘have artificial deadlines set by…people with political agendas’

October 11, 2020

Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer raised many eyebrows Sunday on CBS’s ‘Face The Nation ‘after saying that the results of the state’s election won’t be announced by “artificial deadlines” set by “people with political agendas.

The Governor apparently doesn’t want to let anyone know what the rules are for the presidential election on Nov. 3 in her home state of Michigan.

“Michigan will be able to announce results, but we are not going to have artificial deadlines set by, you know, people with political agendas,” she said. “We’re gonna get this right.”

Related: FBI says it foiled plot to kidnap and kill Gov. Whitmer, overthrow Michigan govt.

Concern has been mounting over universal mail-in-ballots and this years complications during the upcoming Nov. 3, presidential election due to the coronavirus global pandemic.

Whitmer also responded to a CBS poll that found half of Trump’s supporters think they should monitor voting places.

As for a CBS poll that found half of Trump supporters believe that polling places should be monitored “we are prepared to make sure this election goes smoothly. We’re gonna keep people safe as they go to the polls, and we will not tolerate anyone who’s trying to interfere with someone’s ability to safely vote.”

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